HomeMy WebLinkAbout3.b. SOAR Update / Dual Track Airport Planning .Y�� � � i.� � . . ... . . . . . � � . . � . � . . . . �� . . . . . .. . ..
CIT'Y OF ROSEMOUNT
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY FOR ACTION
CITY COUNCIL MEETING DATE: MARCH 2, 1993
AGENDA ITEM: S_O.A,R. UPDATE AGENDA SECTION:
DUAL TRACK AIRPORT PLI�NNING DEPARTMENT HEAD REPORT
PREPARED BY: STEPHAN JILK, CITY ADMINISTRATOR AGENDA NO. o,,,
6 ��� � �
ATTACffi++lEENTS: NEWSPAPER ARTICLE, AP OVE B . 9
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REPORT SUNIMARY ,� ✓�.;_ . � ,�
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Mr. Kevin Carroll will update the Council on the activities of S.O.A.R. and
recent events occurring in the Dual Track Airport Planning Process.
A recently published report from the Minnesota State Auditors Office
regarding the Dual Track Process is enclosed.
Since this is a lengthy document it is not being copied to others in the
general packets. If it is desired to be reviewed, a copy is available at
City Hall .
Mr. Carroll, Councilmernber Klassen and I attended a meeting on Thursday, in
Hastings on this report. We will comment on it.
RECONIlKENDED ACTION:
None.
COUNCIL ACTION:
e � ! Auditor says Met Council's
� research for new airport
� confains technicai flaws
SUMMARY: A legislative a new airport in Dakota County.
audltors repott released tast State Rep,Dennis Ozment,IR-
week was very critical of the Rosemount,said that hia ongoing
Met Councit's research 1nto criticism of che Mec Council's
whether a new alrport is reseanh and scatemeacs about a
needed.OpponentS of the al�- new airport had been vindicated.
port are saying that the report `IC was very good news, snd
gives them a vaivabie tooi to �^'e're going to use it to the besc of
iight a new airport In Dakota our ability ta swp the airport prn-
COutlty. cess...,' Ozment said. Dakota
, wuntypeo pie are real grateful to
by Steve Elde have a d�cument that jiisti6es all r
i staff wr�1N�+"-"'�rt'`-� o� previous opposition.'
Opponents oCa new sirport are On Friday,Feb.19,the day the
� revelingtih'the•legislative sudi- report was seleased,Legislative
tofszeportthatwasreleasedlast Auditor Jamea 2voble met with
i W'eek.The re rt ri the TM�n Cities media,summar-
Po pped the Met- ��ng his findings.
iropolitan Council's handling of a . �
study regarding whether to build Report/See Page 5A
' ��p 0 t ` Continued from page 1A .
"Expansion is probably st�'ll Counal atudied the posn'b�ity of
i needed,but's it's probably,and I bu7ding a new sirport�and where
i say probably, needed later than one could be bu�t The three sites
1 w•as first predicted,'Noble told chasen are a]1 in Dakota County.
� reporters on Friday. The DIAC looked into nenovating
Toble found five technical andexpandingthecutteatairport,
� 11aa•s in the T'fet Coundl's study. Minneapolis St Paul AirporL
f, *inappropriate methods used to '
determine airport capacity. �eg�s�a�(Q(� '�
•ezroneous analysis of the use of g�� gep, ��e Morris, IR-
the current sizport as a oonnect- g�y�.!'➢e,is introdudng legis3a-�
ing point by air travelers, tion that calls for the.halt-off�5e
•significant overestimation of 81�rt study:Ozment and several
;�curreni and future deia�•s, athez�akota County legislato:s
•substantial overestir�ation'oT $����ng on as co-authora to the
the benefit�_ut-s-ne`vi�runwav or bilL
_ airport, and � So far the duat-trad study has
•flawed analysis of future noise �t about S7 mi7lion.
probtems at•the currentairporL •AndiYsorilyhalfover,"Oanent
Duai-track 6a��.
The bulk oC the expenses go for
The state legislaW7e initiated consultants who are reseuching -
what's called the dual-traci:prooess the poss�'bilities ofeither a new or a
during the late 1980a-The two rehabbed sirport
tracks were explored by the h4et ^
Couna'1 and the ATetropolitan fur- �+rft�C�$m
ports Commission(I�lACJ The A1et A4an}•of the criticisms in the the
r
�
�
i �
audito�'s TepDn had tieen p�vious• characterized some of the oonsui- �
ly raised by new airport opponents, tants work as ha��ng"bonehead, �
ac�ordingw Oanent While rntiral undergraduate erross.' �
of the h'!et Council'�research and "�;'hen we have bonehead,� �
research oonclusions, the auditor undergraduate consultanis µ•ho �
stated that the dual•trae}:prooess arepaidhighmoneyfortheirexper- �
should continue. tise thea32hinl:thestateof:�tinne- � �
Ozment doesn't thinY, so. �should have some teoou.�se..." �
"They really have astndy that Ozment and other legislatois I
was faisely�siudie�n a need for Want to 3rnow why there wer+e gr�eat I
,�something that doesn't exist—yet errors regar�ng future air tra�c, i
they say keep it going;' Ozment the impad of noise in the fu:ure,
said. and the airpoY's ab�lity to hand'ie
Dottie A.ietow•,the new head o° incomingandoutgoingai:�af5cin
tha T1et Couna'l,said that consu;- ��,.5 ahead.
tants had p:ro�ided ihem �iL'� � "Is it inwmpetence or polidcs'.'"
inmrrec:es�imates of future noise, Ounent asked.
and estima:es of futuz+e detays at But last wee}:,2�oble stated that
the ai*port. theteportwasn'tdesignedtoassess
Ozment said that he's loo}�ng blame,oniy to determine if there
inw who's accoti:nable for the Re!e e.^.rors.
ezrora Ozment added tnat ai*po:ts in
"Pm sa}ing hox•do K•e hold ihem Rochester and St. Paul are
accauntabie?" Ozment sated underutilized.
Ozment s�:ed tnat one of the "Anylternativesiteisn'tiusri5ed
st::d}'s�•o c�-autho:s.El;ic:Lo�g. and never K171 be," Ozment said.
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AIRPORT PLANNING • A flawed analysis of future noise annoy-
ance for communities around MSP,and
February 19, 1993 • An erroneous analysis of trends in hubbing
In December 1988, the Metropolitan Council activity at MSP(the use of MSP as a con-
completed a study of the long-term adequacy of °�tiag point for travelers).
the Minneapolis-St.Paul Intemational Airport �ar example,in 1988,the Council's consultant esti-
(MSP). The study raised serious qnestions about mated that,without expansion,airport delay�s at
MSP s physical and environmental capacity to han- MSP would grow from 14 minutes per aircraft in
dle future aviation activity. As a result,the Coun- 1988 to 50 minutes in 2008. In contrast,M�AC's
cil recomm„nded,andnthe 1989 Legislature ����nts estimated that delays would graw from
adopted,a dual-track planning process to study 2 minutes to 6 minutes. The Council's estirt�ate for
both MSP expansion and new airport developmen� 1988 was not consistent with MSP's experi�nce.
Althou h the seven- ear lannin In addi6on,more recent studies confirm that the
g y p g pic�cess is now �uncil's estimates for 2008 were not reasonable.
only about half completed,the process has become
quite controversial. We were asked by the I.egisia- W�aLso€ound that the technical work of bo�h the
tive Audit Commission to examine the technical �uncil and MAC needs to be more clearly pre-
adequacy of work already completed by the Metro- sented and summarized for policy makers. �n addi-
politan Council and the Metropolitan Airports tion,the two agencies need to better coordinate
Commission(MAC). In addition,legislators ques- their efforis so that they are using similar methods
tioned whether recent changes in the airline indus- of analysis.
try should prompt changes in the scope or timing '
of the planning process. Despite these problems,we conclude that:
We found that both agencies have done some good • �e dual-track proce,ss should be comtin-
planning work and have conducted a process ued,although the need for mo�e runWay
which is open and accessible. However. ca acit a rs to be farther of�in�he
P Y PP�
• The CounciPs consultants and staff have future than initially forecast.
used a number of questionable methods to '�e 1988 adequacy study overstated future�apac-
reach key conclusions in past studies. ity problems by overestimating futwe airpoct op-
The technical problems we found with the Coun- erations,particularly regional airline operatians,
cil's studies include: and by usmg questionable methods of analyzing
air�cut�dequacy and estimating the benefits',of ca-
• Use of an innppropriatemethod for deter- pacity enhancement. In early 1990,both ag¢ncies
mining airport adequaey, revised their forecasts of future operations ahd pas-
- senger acfivity. We found the revised estimates of
• SigniGcant overestimation of current and total operations to be reasonable,although we sug-
future airport delays, gest some changes to certain categories of ai�craft
operations. Revised passenger estimates are�prob-
• Substantiat overestimation of certain bene- ably too high primarily because we think iha!t both
fits of capacity enhancement at either MSP agencies have overestimated the future level'of
or a new airport, hubbing activity. ,
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Bascd on its reviscd fore-
cast, MAC staff tcnta- a��'Pai't Oper$tiorts 8t MSP that both agencies
tivcly estimaie that closely monitor North-
additional runway capac- Thousands west Airlines'financial
ity may not be needed � condition and recom_
unG12005 or 2010. mcnd changes in the
Given the uncertainty in �p duat-traek pracess if
the airline industry, how- ���� warranted.
ever,it seems reasonable '
to continue the dual- 4� �sso Fo�ecnst FinaIly,we re�ommend
track process as sched- � that the Council exam-
ulcd. IniGai estimates 2� ine the need ta protect
sugpest that improving viable expansipn opGons
MSP could prove to be at MSP. Currdnt}y, the
costly. Consequently,a �s�2 ts82 tss2 2pp2 Zo12 �uncil has auithority to
comprehensive and tech- limit develop ent in the
nically competent analy- Y�� new airport�rch area
sis of the benefits and but has not worked
costs of the various options for im rovin ca cit enough with communi-
needs to be done before MSP is ex nded or� Y ��around MSP to ensure that future development
closed. � does not limit the viability of MSP expansion op-
tions.
Continuing the dual-track planning process would
help the region reach an informed decisian ro- �°Pies of the report are available from the Pro-
P gram Evaluation Division. If you have any
vided that the Metropolitan Council takes prompt questions,please contact Roger Br�ooks,John
action to upgrade the technical su
from consultants and staff. We alsOe,�c mme d � Z'unker,or Elliot Long at{612)296-47�t3,
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