HomeMy WebLinkAbout2.b. Comprehensive Plan DiscussionEXECUTIVE SUMMARY
City Council Work Session: May 8, 2017
AGENDA ITEM: Comprehensive Plan Discussion AGENDA SECTION:
Discussion
PREPARED BY: Kyle Klatt, Senior Planner AGENDA NO. 2.b.
ATTACHMENTS: 2030 Land Use Plan, Draft 2040 Future
Land Use Map, Future Land Use Map with
Changes Highlighted, Draft Future Land Use
Table Update
APPROVED BY: LJM
RECOMMENDED ACTION: Presentation and Discussion
SUMMARY
The City Council is being asked to review a draft future land use map and land use table that will serve as a
cornerstone for revisions to the City’s Comprehensive Plan. The Planning Commission has been
discussing proposed revisions to the land use elements of the 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update over the
past several work sessions, and staff is seeking early feedback from the Council concerning this work. The
map is expected to see further refinements through the planning process, which will continue throughout
the year.
The information included for review at the work session includes the following:
The 2030 Future Land Use Map (from the current Comprehensive Plan).
The draft 2040 Future Land Use Map.
A map highlighting the proposed changes from the 2030 map.
Staff has also prepared a future land use map table with information accounting the amount of land
devoted to various land uses in the future draft plan and an analysis with projected density calculations.
This table is one of the core requirements for the Comprehensive Plan and must be included in the 2040
update. The information is also useful to help analyze the City’s future land use needs, and in particular, to
help ensure that there is an adequate supply of land guided for various land uses to accommodate future
growth projections and Council goals. The Planning Commission and staff have looked at the amount of
land available for residential development on the future land map, and have prepared some initial
projections for future household and population growth based on the map.
FUTURE LAND USE MAP COMP PLAN DISCUSSION
The proposed 2040 land use map builds off of the current land use map, and the draft includes some
incremental changes based on feedback from the City’s three area planning groups, other public
comments, staff analysis and Planning Commission review. The following is a summary of the more
significant changes:
Additional residential land uses have been added to the area east of Highway 52 in place of the
Business Park and some of the Regional Commercial land uses south of Highway 42. More
residential density has been added in this area of the community.
2
The map includes future land use designations for a portion of the northern part of the UMore
Park property and no longer guides these areas for Agriculture Research. Additional modifications
will occur since the UMore has prepared a concept which includes more land use changes than
reflected in the attached map.
The 2030 and 2040 MUSA boundaries have been moved further outward and better align with
planned sewer improvements and staging.
Other smaller changes are proposed in response to requests from property owners or based on
recommendations from staff.
The attached table includes a summary of the amount of land designated in each land use category under
both the existing and proposed land use plan. The table also provides a breakdown of the net increases
across the various land use categories, in ten year increments. At this time, the UMore land uses are being
tracked separately from the other changes because the 2030 Comprehensive Plan anticipated that any
future development at UMore would be in addition to the City’s other projected growth. The end result of
adding UMore development into the 2040 plan will be a potential revision to the City’s regional forecast
numbers to account for this growth. Staff anticipates that availability of land will increase the demand for
residential development in the community to some extent. The full impact of these changes and the effect
on growth projections will be more fully evaluated in later drafts of the plan.
The analysis sections of the table (the colored boxes) include projections based on the proposed residential
land use areas. Based on the density ranges for each category, Staff is projecting a range of potential future
households within the City in ten year increments (the orange box). The column marked low represents a
projection using the lowest number in the density range while the high column is a number derived from
densities typically observed within Rosemount projects. The minimum density number is the basis for the
Met Council’s projections to determine compliance with the regional plan. The numbers in the blue box
show the overall density projections for the City (using the Met Council baseline) for each ten year
planning period, with and without housing included in the 2020 plan. Under Met Council rules, the City is
required to accommodate densities between 3-5 units per acre in all sewered residential areas planned since
2020. Staff has also provided a calculation for affordable housing units based on the Met Council’s
designation of eight units per acre as meeting affordability goals.
Some brief observations from these projections:
The City will meet density requirements through the year 2030 if land uses prior to 2020 area are
taken out of the equation. The Met Council indicated that the 2020-2030 timeframe stands on its
own, which means our draft plan would be in compliance.
The City is slightly under the minimum density of three units per acre in the next decade after
2030, and may need to make modest revisions to the plan to address this issue.
The proposed plan would accommodate enough units above eight units per acres to meet the
City’s affordable housing planning goals.
The overall projections have the City meeting or exceeding the household and populations
projections from the City’s System Statement.
The City has had an initial meeting with the Met Council to review an early draft of the future land use
map, tables, and projections. Staff will discuss some of the highlights of this meeting with the Council at
the work session. One of the major discussion points with the Met Council focused on the City’s
population and household forecasts. These forecasts are partially based on land capacity, are reviewed
every year, and may be adjusted upwards or downwards based on market conditions, availability of land,
3
road improvements, or other factors that make land available for development. The forecasts are reviewed
every year, and changes in market trends may lead to revisions in the forecasts. Because Rosemount has a
fairly large supply of undeveloped land, it is difficult to project (with a high degree of accuracy) future
household growth due to the factors listed above that may either accelerate or hinder development.
One final issue that should also be considered by the City Council is the amount of development that is
expected to occur after 2040 in Rosemount. Past plans have made future projections for all of Rosemount
(at full build out), including the UMore property. While these numbers are useful for utility and
transportation planning purposes, any development occurring beyond 2040 will not be directly reviewed
by the Met Council with this update. This information is very critical from the City’s perspective, but will
not be a major focus point for the Met Council.
RECOMMENDATION
Staff is looking for input from the Council concerning the draft future land use map and tables. Because
the meeting is a work session, no action is required.
2030 Land Use Plan (Current)
AG AgricultureDT DowntownNC Neighborhood CommercialRC Regional Commercial
CC Community CommercialAGR Agricultural ResearchRR Rural ResidentialLDR Low Density Residential
TR Transitional ResidentialMDR Medium Density ResidentialHDR High Density ResidentialPI Public/Institutional
PO Existing Parks/Open SpaceBP Business ParkLI Light IndustrialGI General IndustrialWM Waste Management
2020 MUSA Line2030 MUSA Line
Path: T:\GIS\Project\CommDev\LandUse\Land Use Comp Plan 11x17.mxd Date Saved: May 2017
Last Approved: January 14, 2016
Proposed 2040 Land Use Plan
MUSA Year Boundary20302040Future 2040 +
Proposed Land UseAG AgricultureFP FloodplainDT DowntownNC Neighborhood Commercial
RC Regional CommercialCC Community CommercialAGR Agricultural ResearchRR Rural ResidentialLDR Low Density Residential
TR Transitional ResidentialMDR Medium Density ResidentialHDR High Density ResidentialPI Public/InstitutionalPO Existing Parks/Open Space
BP Business ParkLI Light IndustrialGI General IndustrialWM Waste Management
MXD: T:\GIS\Project\CommDev\CompPlan\2018Update\CompPlan_ProposedLandUse.mxd PDF: I:\GIS\Map_Library\CommDev\CompPlan\2018Update\CompPlan_ProposedLandUse11x17.pdf Map Date: May 2017 Last Approved: January 14, 2016
0 10.5 MileE
UMore EastUMore West
Proposed Land Use Plan Revisions
MUSA Year Boundary20302040Future 2040 +
Proposed Land UseAG AgricultureFP FloodplainDT DowntownNC Neighborhood Commercial
RC Regional CommercialCC Community CommercialAGR Agricultural ResearchRR Rural ResidentialLDR Low Density Residential
TR Transitional ResidentialMDR Medium Density ResidentialHDR High Density ResidentialPI Public/InstitutionalPO Existing Parks/Open Space
BP Business ParkLI Light IndustrialGI General IndustrialWM Waste Management
MXD: T:\GIS\Project\CommDev\CompPlan\2018Update\CompPlan_ProposedLandUseChanges.mxd PDF: I:\GIS\Map_Library\CommDev\CompPlan\2018Update\CompPlan_ProposedLandUseChanges11x17.pdf Map Date: May 2017 Last Approved: January 14, 2016
0 10.5 MileE
Transitional Residentialto Low DensityResidential
Transitional Residentialto Low DensityResidential
Change fromAG Research
Expand2030 MUSA
Regional Commercialto Residential
Business Parkto Residential
Expand2040 MUSA
Adjust boundarybetween Business Parkand Light Industrial
TABLE 3.4: Existing and Planned Land Use Table (DRAFT)Land UseRes Min (upa)Res Max (upa)Current Land Use Plan (acres)2040 Future Land Use Plan (acres)% of land (future)2030 (2017‐2020)2030 Vacant Land% of land2040 (2020‐2030)% of landFuture (2040 +) % of Land UMORE AcresAgriculture n/a 0.025 3,811 2,281 10.1% 0 0 0 0Agriculture Research n/a 0.025 3,203 2,333 10.3% 0 0 0 2,333Rural Residential n/a 0.2 1,827 1,827 8.1% 0 0 0 0Transitional Residential n/a .2 or .33 910 772 3.4% 487 30 0 0 0Low Density Residential 1 6 3,747 5,794 25.7% 3,719 900 388 1,307 380Medium Density Residential 6 12 567 783 3.5% 467 217 137 167 13High Density Residential 12 30 110 181 0.8% 127 62 28 13 14Downtown 20 40 64 64 0.3% 64 13 0 0 0Neighborhood Commercial 14 54 0.2% 11 0 43 0Community Commercial 588 613 2.7% 370 218 0 25Regional Commercial 383 358 1.6% 358 0 0 0Business Park 1,583 1,877 8.3% 1,036 425 0 416Light Industrial 570 505 2.2% 505 0 0 0General Industrial 2,855 2,855 12.6% 920 188 0 0Waste Management 241 245 1.1% 238 0 0 0Public/Institutional 342 342 1.5% 342 0 0 0Parks and Open Space 765 694 3.1% 436 0 0 0Floodplain 990 990 4.4% 0 0 0 0TOTALS 22,569 22,569 100.0% 9,080 1222 1,383 1,530 3,181Residential Projections2030 Low* 2030 High* 2040 Low 2040 High 2050 Low 2050 High Met Council Review ItemsTR ‐ Transitional Residential30 60 0 0 0 0LDR ‐ Low Density Residential900 2,115 388 913 1,687 3,965 Residential Density (units per acre) Affordable Housing GoaMDR ‐ Medium Density Residential1,302 1,519 821 958 1,079 1,259After(8+ units per acre)HDR ‐ High Density Residential744 1,240 335 558 314 523Year Actual2020 PlanDT ‐ Downtown257 386 000 0 2030 2.69 3.71 Required:7832040 2.79 N/AProjected1001Totals (Housing Units)3,233 5,320 1,544 2,428 3,080 5,746 2050 1.63 N/A* All 2030 Calculations based on vacant land estimateCalculations (Units Per Acre) TR LDR MDR HDR DTLow (Met Council) ‐ Minimum 1 1 6 12 20High (City Estimate) ‐ Average 2 2.35 7 20 30